Back
~
3
min read
· Posted on
April 17, 2026

Qantas and Virgin are cutting more flights… because fuel prices are doing all the soaring

Qantas and Virgin cut flights and raise fares as soaring fuel costs squeeze margins and make low-demand routes unprofitable.

What's the key learning?

  • Route viability comes down to unit economics, not just demand.
  • Fuel costs can quickly flip profitable routes into loss-makers.
  • Airlines cut weaker routes first to protect overall margins.

Background: Qantas, its budget bro Jetstar and Virgin Australia are the biggest... and only... domestic airlines in Australia… apart from Rex on the regional routes. In fact, they control 98% of the domestic airline industry.


What happened: Now, Virgin Australia is cutting more flights on its less popular routes in May and June, on top of already-flagged fare increases. The reason is that fuel price hikes are expected to add $40 million to its operating costs. Meanwhile, Qantas has also announced a 5% cut to domestic flights, warning its fuel bill could jump by as much as $800 million.

What else: These cuts all come down to one thing: profitability. Airlines need each route to stack up financially, and when costs rise and planes aren't full, the RASK just doesn't add up


What's the key learning?


💡 Airlines measure whether a route is worth flying using something called RASK (revenue per available seat kilometre). It's essentially how much revenue each seat generates per kilometre, and it determines whether a route is viable.  

💡 Rising fuel costs quickly can put a LOT OF pressure on airline economics. As fuel gets more expensive, airlines need higher fares or fuller planes just to break even...which is harder on lower-demand routes.


💡 So when costs spike, underperforming routes, especially regional ones, are cut as airlines constantly reassess what's profitable.

Ready to win at money?

Sign up for Flux and join 100,000 members of the Flux family

A button to App StoreGoogle Play store button
Excellent  4.9 out of 5
Star rating
No items found.