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· Posted on
February 21, 2024

Costa Group's buyout gets a little less 'ripe': $100 million sliced off like a summer watermelon

Paine Schwartz has backflipped and sliced its acquisition offer for Costa Group down to $3.20 per share.

What's the key learning?

  • Paine Schwartz saw an expected $30 million hit from adverse weather conditions in Costa Group's profit outlook.
  • Some industries live and die by the weather forecast, and this can have a significant impact on the bottom line of a company and valuation.
  • When Costa Group warned of a late start to the citrus season due to weather conditions, it was a reminder for Paine Schwartz that many elements of this business are out of their control.

👉 Background: Costa Group is the ASX-listed fruit and vegetable producer, which operates 7200 hectares of farmland in Australia. It produces everything from berries to mushrooms and even avocados.

👉 What happened: Last October, an American private equity firm named Paine Schwartz acquired around 14% of Costa at $2.60 a share. Then in May, Paine Schwartz made an acquisition offer of $3.50 a share, valuing Costa Group at $1.6 billion.

But now, Paine Schwartz has backflipped and sliced its offer down to $3.20 per share.

👉 What else: As part of the due diligence process, Paine Schwartz saw an expected $30 million hit from adverse weather conditions in Costa Group's profit outlook.

What's the key learning?

💡Some industries live and die by the weather forecast. And this can have a significant impact on the bottom line of a company... and valuation.

💡When Costa Group announced its interim results, it warned of a late start to the citrus season due to weather conditions. And it was a reminder for Paine Schwartz that many elements of this business are out of their control.

💡 And agriculture isn't the only industry impacted weather. The weather also impacts:

  • Mining
  • Construction
  • Retail
  • Amusement parks
  • Professional sports

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