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· Posted on
February 21, 2024

The Fed ain't gonna stop raising rates anytime soon, 'cos it's aiming for the 'Goldilocks zone'

There are some signs that inflation is slowing, but the Fed still isn't going to stop raising rates anytime soon.

What's the key learning?

  • A lot of people were hoping that the Fed might change its rate-rising-strategy
  • The Fed flagged rate rises into next year, which is probably why all the major indexes were down
  • The Fed is having a bit of a Goldilocks moment

👉 Background: The Federal Reserve is America’s version of the RBA - they set the interest rates and try to keep the economy healthy.

👉 What happened: Late last week, the head of the Fed was set to give a big speech late, and much like Ross from Friends, a lot of people were yelling for him to PIVOT. They were hoping that the Fed might change its rate-rising-strategy since there are some signs that inflation is slowing.

👉 What else: Instead, the Fed flagged rate rises into next year - which is probably why all the major indexes were down at least 4% for the week after the news.

What's the key learning?

💡The Federal Reserve is trying to bring the economy to what’s called a 'soft landing'… and it ain’t an easy task. Think of it as a bit of a Goldilocks moment. If you increase interest rates too fast, you might cause a massive recession...  

💡And if you don’t increase rates fast enough. Inflation might come running back.

💡It seems like the current chairman Jerome Powell wants to learn from the mistakes of the past… And even though US inflation has already dropped from 9.1% to 8.5%, he’s willing to accept weaker growth for the sake of getting inflation under control.

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